golf digest picks: this week
Its that kind of formula that yielded his breakthrough victory at Torrey Pines of all places. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Hes been wildly inconsistent in each facet of his game, and this price is too much to stomach compared to his peers. Players 2023: The 13 best bets to win at TPC Sawgrass Every year, theres a contingent of native and resident Southeasterners who find a return to bermuda greens as comfortable as sliding on a favorite T-shirt. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. 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RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our betting panel has cashed three straight outright winnersand now we have a consensus bet. Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. Hes gained 10-plus strokes to the field five times during that run, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. I worry about him losing five strokes on the putting surfaces, but his clubhead speed and newfound confidence can be a difference-maker this week. The only thing worrisome about this play is he hasnt truly contended on the PGA Tour yet, even last week after he grabbed a share of the first round lead. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. 2023 American Express First Round Leader Picks: Can Davis Riley Start Hot? Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Genesis Invitational picks 2023: Why our experts trust Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Released Tuesday. The model also included J.T. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Hes posted two top-25 finishes in his past three starts and played well at Riviera for two rounds before fading to T-56. Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. The pair are former roommates and like the Gooch/Homa pair, will have great chemistry on the course. Aaron Rai ($7,700 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. Released Wednesday. He gained more than 14 strokes from tee-to-green in those eight rounds but lost over eight strokes with his putter. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. We picked our You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. On this page, youll find all the golf DFS Content you need for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo, SuperDraft and FantasyDraft including: The First Cut: A comprehensive preview of the week to come, including a course breakdown, DFS slate breakdown, field breakdown, and so much more. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Keep it social. TPC Summerlin 8. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Rickie Fowler Time! 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? In fact, the model is up over $8,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Mayo: Matt Kuchar (50-1, DraftKings) BACK to the scene of the crime from Kuch. Latest Golf News - PGA TOUR Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Which overlooked golfer could pull off a victory that would pay off at more than 60-1? Stop Guessing and Start Winning! These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. 2023 American Express picks, predictions, odds, field: Top PGA CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. picks Palmer was able to grab World No. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. Golf Predictions. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. He finished his Korn Ferry Tour season with a win, a third and T-10 all within his last seven starts. McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. He also ranked second in birdie average (4.6 per round) and fourth in scoring average (69.3). SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. Poston. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. Scheffler will be rusty coming in and only finished 45th in the one event he has played in the last nine weeks. Powers, Golf Digest: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) McNealy is on a streak of three consecutive top-20 finishes, but its all thanks to a scorching hot putter. Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. Thatll be very useful around Torrey Pines this week. Gehman: Viktor Hovland Hovland heads back to Mayakoba, looking to win this event for the third consecutive year. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Bermuda: Russell Knox. (Photo by Derick E. Hingle/USA TODAY Sports). You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. picks Bay Hill leader Kurt Kitayama has multiple flattering nicknames Now hell travel to PGA National, where hes gained strokes putting in three straight trips. Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Powers: Thomas Detry Might as well attempt to cash in on this hot streak while its happening. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Tway got through the cut at both full-field elevated events, finishing top 40 in both. Rory McIlroy, No. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Golf Digest - Joel Beall 2d The PGA Tours designated events for 2024 will feature limited fields and no cuts after the tours Policy Board voted to approve a new structure for the tournaments in a Tuesday night meeting. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Gehman: Zecheng Dou (180-1, DraftKings) Dou just posted his best finish of the season, a T-17 in Bermuda last week. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week.
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